President Trump has claimed his economic plan could cause brief pain while the nation advances to a new “Golden Age.” But ...

Consumer spending, the biggest driver of US economic growth, fell in January for the first time in two years. One closely watched real-time forecast shows the economy contracting 2.4% this quarter.

Concurrently, that restlessness creates risks for the new administration, which needs to deliver substantive accomplishments, and quickly. Moreover, the Trump economic plan and all attendant ...

You recently raised your personal odds of a possible recession in 2025 to 35 percent, up from 15 percent in any given year.

This helps explain the rapid reversal of economic growth that has descended upon the U.S. Because these effects hit both consumers and producers, changing course will become increasingly difficult.