Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan spoke with 60 Minutes about an anonymous Frenchman who made over $80 million betting on President Trump to win the 2024 presidential election.

Public opinion polls and other surveys rely on data to understand human behavior. New research from Dartmouth reveals that artificial intelligence can now corrupt public opinion surveys at scale—passing every quality check,

Political experts say voter enthusiasm on display in races earlier this month in New Jersey, Virginia and elsewhere could point to a Democratic edge.

With Donald Trump heading back to the White House, it’s not just the Democrats who face a reckoning, but pollsters as well. Multiple high-profile polling gurus failed to accurately predict what ended up being a decisive victory for the former president ...

Available data suggests the Democratic Party will win ten seats and gain control of the House of Representatives in the midterms.

Prediction markets are increasingly rivalling traditional political polls, raising questions about accuracy, bias, and their evolving role.

Peter Thiel made a "contrarian" prediction that the election wouldn't be close. He was right: Trump is on track to sweep the swing states, and he overperformed in blue states. Thiel has a history of making contrarian bets in his investments and business ...